01
Price = Probability
YES at 63¢ implies a 63% market probability. NO moves inversely so pricing stays interpretable at every moment.
How It Works
YES at 63¢ implies a 63% market probability. NO moves inversely so pricing stays interpretable at every moment.
Choose your side and share count, review total cost before submitting. Portfolio tracks exposure and P&L by market.
When a market resolves, winning shares settle to full value. Balance and performance metrics update instantly.
Open markets, take a position, and let settled outcomes grade your conviction.
Review question wording, deadline, and resolution criteria before entering a position.
Submit shares at current price. Your trade updates market odds and portfolio exposure.
Track price moves, open P/L, and market activity from the market page and portfolio views.
After outcome confirmation, winning payouts are credited and leaderboard stats update.
Every market includes explicit resolution rules so settlement is fully auditable before you enter.
Trade history and portfolio pages show position, cost basis, and realized outcomes — nothing hidden.
New accounts start with a practice balance so you understand sizing and payout before real funds.
Open markets, take a side, let settled outcomes grade your conviction.